## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

Results 1-3 of 57

...

**trials**, nature tends to match one's own strategy , playing tit for tat . Let us assume nature cooperates 75 % of the time when participant also coop- erates on 75 % of the

**trials**, and that nature's cooperation rate is 25 % when the ...

...

**trials**, 2 blocks is 244 training

**trials**, and 4 blocks is 544 training

**trials**) is sizeable and statistically significant . Panel B : Overconfidence in interval production as a function of the number of training blocks in a laboratory ...

...

**trials**is reversed : AB → R

**trials**are fol- lowed by A → R

**trials**and then by a test on B alone . Backward blocking is said to occur if responding to B is attenuated by the A → R post - training . The intuition remains the same — the ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

20 other sections not shown

### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |