## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

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**Reference**Points in Attribute Framing . The

**reference**point hypothesis ( McKenzie & Nelson , 2003 ; Sher & McKenzie , 2006 ) concerns situations in which some

**reference**point level of X1 is salient to the speaker . This may be the ...

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**reference**point for the number of black outcomes out of six rolls would be five , while for the second group it would be one . Participants were not informed that the dice were weighted . For some participants , the die was weighted to ...

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**reference**level of a choice - relevant variable , rational actors will exhibit a valence - consistent shift . Implicit Recommendations in Attribute Framing . The

**reference**point hypothesis implies that choice - relevant information is ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

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### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |