## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

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**prior**probability of each hypothesis , P ( h ) , and the probabil- ity of the data under each hypothesis , P ( d | h ) . We have two coins , and thus two hypotheses . If we use to denote the probability that a coin produces heads , then ...

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**prior**to reflect , for example , the impact of previous learning , or a higher

**prior**degree of belief in the existence of the con- struction on the basis of analogy to other verbs , see MacWhinney ( 2004 ) , or Tomasello ( 2000 ) , or ...

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**prior**probabil- ity of being relevant with a likelihood reflecting its relationship to the query or cue , and then return the items with highest posterior probability . This schema can be used to solve the retrieval problems faced both ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

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### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |