The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |
From inside the book
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Page 36
... prior probability of each hypothesis , P ( h ) , and the probabil- ity of the data under each hypothesis , P ( d | h ) . We have two coins , and thus two hypotheses . If we use to denote the probability that a coin produces heads , then ...
... prior probability of each hypothesis , P ( h ) , and the probabil- ity of the data under each hypothesis , P ( d | h ) . We have two coins , and thus two hypotheses . If we use to denote the probability that a coin produces heads , then ...
Page 133
... prior to reflect , for example , the impact of previous learning , or a higher prior degree of belief in the existence of the con- struction on the basis of analogy to other verbs , see MacWhinney ( 2004 ) , or Tomasello ( 2000 ) , or ...
... prior to reflect , for example , the impact of previous learning , or a higher prior degree of belief in the existence of the con- struction on the basis of analogy to other verbs , see MacWhinney ( 2004 ) , or Tomasello ( 2000 ) , or ...
Page 332
... prior probabil- ity of being relevant with a likelihood reflecting its relationship to the query or cue , and then return the items with highest posterior probability . This schema can be used to solve the retrieval problems faced both ...
... prior probabil- ity of being relevant with a likelihood reflecting its relationship to the query or cue , and then return the items with highest posterior probability . This schema can be used to solve the retrieval problems faced both ...
Contents
prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |
A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |
Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |
Copyright | |
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The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |
Common terms and phrases
algorithm alternative analysis approach approximate argument associated assumed assumption attribute Bayesian behavior beliefs Cambridge causal cause Chater choice cluster cognitive complexity computational concept conditional consider correlation decision depends described developed distribution effect environment estimate et al evidence example expected experience experimental explain framing function given heuristic human hypothesis important individual inference involved Journal judgment language learning logic mean memory methods natural normative Oaksford objects observed optimal options outcomes parameters participants particular performance possible posterior predictions present Press principle prior probabilistic probability problem produce prospect Psychological question rational rational analysis reasoning reference relation relative represent representation require response Review rule sample Science selection semantic shows similar simple statistical structure subjective suggest task theory tion trials University utility variables weight