The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |
From inside the book
Results 1-3 of 58
... posterior distribution . The first method is maximum a posteriori ( MAP ) estimation : choosing the value of ✪ that maximizes the posterior probability , as given by ( 9 ) . The second method is computing the posterior mean of the ...
... posterior Nu +1 H being NH Na + Nr , but the posterior mean is NH Na + N + 2 NT . mean is sensitive to the fact that we might not want to put as much weight in a single head as a sequence of ten heads in a row : on seeing a single head ...
... posterior complexity distribution 390 , 392 posterior degrees of belief 132-3 , 151 posterior distribution 39-41 posterior mean 38-9 posterior odds 36-8 , 41 posterior predictive distribution 38 posterior probability 35-6 , 122 , 308 ...
Contents
prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |
A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |
Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |
Copyright | |
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The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |