The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |
From inside the book
Results 1-3 of 21
... overconfidence , and these predictions differ with probability judgment and interval production . Because the same independent variables produce divergent results we refer to these effects as dissociations . A format - experience ...
... overconfident . That experts with many years in a profession generally are highly overconfident suggests that they are unable to profit from the large number of observations in long - term memory for eliminating the overconfidence with ...
... Overconfidence 0.4 Low STM capacity 0.3 High STM capacity 0.2 0.1 0.0 Probability Interval Assessment format Fig . 11.5 ( Cont . ) Panel C : Overconfidence and the statistically significant interaction effect between short - term memory ...
Contents
prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |
A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |
Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |
Copyright | |
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Other editions - View all
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |