The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |
From inside the book
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... outcome from deck A and kÅ from deck B , respectively . First , they learn about the value of the maximum outcome . Second , they use their sampling experience to update their prior opinions according to Bayes ' theorem . Because the ...
... outcome ( and each of our gambles had two outcomes ) , frequency information may be inconclusive : For instance , one of gamble a's two outcomes may be more frequent and one less frequent than both of gamble b's two outcomes . So ...
... outcome ) whereas .34 is the probability of a ' good thing ' ( i.e. , receiving 2,400 ) . Instead , one should conclude that the comparison is unfavourable for Prospect A and Prospect A's accumulator should remain unincremented . More ...
Contents
prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |
A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |
Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |
Copyright | |
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Other editions - View all
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |