## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

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**observation**to be more supportive than an X2 & Y2

**observation**, even though both

**observations**support the hypothesis ...

**observed**, one had genotype A and personality type X ( A & X ) and one had genotype B and personality type Y ( B & Y ) ...

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**observation**( loss of light ) . Electricity out and broken bulb are usually independent but become dependent once the loss of light is

**observed**. Given the loss of light , if one cause is known to exist , then the probability of the ...

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**observed**pattern of activation ( dis- counting ) . In this manner discounting is often incommensurate with source confu- sion , resulting in positive or negative priming . These potentially misestimated probabilities correspond to the ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

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### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |