## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

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**memory**. The explicit assumption in the NSM of a short - term

**memory**capacity limi- tation ( n by STM ) accordingly makes strong predictions about the effects of task experience and about the relationship between short - term

**memory**...

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**memory**, the retrieval problem can be construed in terms of assessing the relevance of items stored in the mind to a

**memory**probe ( either internally generated or based on environmental cues ) . The common structure of these problems ...

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**memory**. Discussion In a rational analysis of cognition , the cognitive system is analyzed in terms of the computational demands that arise from the interaction with our environment ( Anderson , 1990 ; Chater & Oaksford , 1999 ; Marr ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

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### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |