## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

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**inference**but only 72 % ( SD = 13.5 % ) the MT

**inference**( Schroyens & Schaeken , 2003 ; see also Oaksford & Chater , 2003a ) . Over the 65 studies , this result represents a highly significant asymmetry , t ( 64 ) = 15.44 , p < 0.0001 ...

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**inference**: the higher the expectation of encountering the construction , the stronger the

**inference**from its absence . This is where pre - emption and entrenchment can come into their own . Both affect the plausibility of P ( n | C ) ...

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**inference**algo- rithms , which we will compare with exact Bayesian

**inference**and human judgments in the next section . The existence of alternative

**inference**algorithms for the RMC is valuable for two reasons . The first is that these ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

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### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |