The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |
From inside the book
Results 1-3 of 80
... hypothesis most strongly must also support the other hypothesis most strongly . Nonetheless , partici- pants selected different observations as most supportive depending on which logically equivalent hypothesis was presented to them ...
... hypothesis 24 % of the time , whereas feature 1 falsifies the working hypothesis only 6 % of the time . Yet Bayesian diag- nosticity is indifferent between the features , as both features have infinite diagnosticity . Scenario 3 ...
... hypotheses , a prior probability function over this hypothesis space , and a likelihood function relating each hypothesis to the data . The prior probability , P ( h ) , describes the belief in hypothesis h before any data is seen , and ...
Contents
prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |
A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |
Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |
Copyright | |
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Other editions - View all
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |