## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

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**developed**, which address the process by which preferential choice is issued ( Steward , this volume ; Roe et al . , 2001 ; Usher & Mclelland , 2004 ) . It is the synthesis of these two lines of work that defines the new field of ...

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**developed**a theory ( power PC theory ) , which formalizes how we can infer unobservable causal powers from ...

**developed**as psychological theories , causal Bayes net the- ory was originally

**developed**by philosophers , computer scientists ...

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**developed**and will therefore compete . How can competing rational models be tested ? We will discuss some general principles : ( 1 ) The more psychological evidence we consider , the higher the likelihood that we will be able to ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

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### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |