## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

Results 1-3 of 81

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**Consider**DA . One is asked to

**consider**whether the car does not start given the key was not turned . To assess this probability , i.e. , Po ( q¬p ) , one has to immediately

**consider**the possibility of the car starting even though the ...

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**consider**a question to be infinitely useful if there is any probability that its answer will rule - out one hypothesis , even if the probability of that answer is very low.1 Another is that in some cases they are independent of priors ...

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**considering**other data sets . To illustrate ,

**consider**two prospects matched on all attribute values . Then introduce a small , below threshold change on one attribute for one prospect . For example ,

**consider**a choice between a .3 ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

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### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |