The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceThe rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |
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Chapter 5 Probability logic and the Modus Ponens - Modus Tollens asymmetry in conditional inference Mike Oaksford Birkbeck College London , London , UK Nick Chater University College London , London , UK The conditional , if ... then ...
normative probabilistic approach to the conditional provided by probability logic ( Adams , 1998 ) , it is argued that a more extreme form of the MP - MT asymmetry may be normatively defensible ( McKenzie , 2004 ) .
For example , take the conditional if a bird is a swan then it is white . Suppose someone is trying to infer a bird's colour on learning that it is not a swan . If few birds are swans or white , then it is highly probable that this bird ...
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Contents
prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |
A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |
Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |
Copyright | |
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Other editions - View all
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |