The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |
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... common - cause model in which a common cause ( e.g. , atmospheric pressure ) both causes effect_1 ( e.g. , barometer ) and effect_2 ( e.g. , weather ) . The two direct causal links imply covariations between the common cause and either ...
... ( common- cause model ) or the two causes ( common - effect model ) based on the assumed presence or absence of the cause or the effect , respectively ( middle ) . Subsequently they provided conditional frequency judgments concerning the ...
... common - cause situation . Thus , in sum , the single - effect learning account provides the broadest and at the same time simplest model for the data . Note that in Hagmayer and Waldmann's ( 2000 , in preparation ) studies cover ...
Contents
prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |
A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |
Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |
Copyright | |
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Other editions - View all
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |