## The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |

### From inside the book

Results 1-3 of 14

...

**argument from ignorance**' or ' argumentum ad ignorantiam ' . This fallacy has been given a formal , Bayesian treatment , which suggests that there is nothing structurally amiss with

**arguments from ignorance**; rather they are ...

...

**argument from ignorance**is given by the conditional probabil- ity that the conclusion is false given negative evidence , e , is found , P ( Ce ) . This probability is referred to as negative test validity . The strength of the ...

... argument is P ( C | ' C ' ) , but the probability corresponding the strength of the

**argument from ignorance**is P ( -C - ' C ' ) . Without the n category the probability of not asserting the truth of the claim P ( ¬'C ' ) and the ...

### Contents

prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |

A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |

Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |

Copyright | |

20 other sections not shown

### Other editions - View all

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |

The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |