The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive ScienceNick Chater, Mike Oaksford The rational analysis method, first proposed by John R. Anderson, has been enormously influential in helping us understand high-level cognitive processes. The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods. It synthesizes and evaluates the progress in the past decade, taking into account developments in Bayesian statistics, statistical analysis of the cognitive 'environment' and a variety of theoretical and experimental lines of research. The scope of the book is broad, covering important recent work in reasoning, decision making, categorization, and memory. Including chapters from many of the leading figures in this field, The Probabilistic Mind will be valuable for psychologists and philosophers interested in cognition. |
From inside the book
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... arguments . This is a pressing problem because of the argument forms that feature in everyday argumentation would appear to be fallacious according to logical standards . There is , in fact , a canon of over twenty odd argument ...
... argument from ignorance is given by the conditional probabil- ity that the conclusion is false given negative evidence , ¬e , is found , P ( ¬C | ¬e ) . This probability is referred to as negative test validity . The strength of the ...
... argument from ignorance can also be a good argu- ment . Hahn and Oaksford ( 2007 ) report the results of experiments showing that under the right circumstances O can indeed be perceived as a stronger argument than S. Hahn et al . ( 2005 ) ...
Contents
prospects for a Bayesian cognitive science | 3 |
A primer on probabilistic inference | 33 |
Rational analyses instrumentalism and implementations | 59 |
Copyright | |
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The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford Limited preview - 2008 |
The Probabilistic Mind: Prospects for Bayesian Cognitive Science Nick Chater,Mike Oaksford No preview available - 2008 |